Looking at an 11 game slate with hot weather and wind blowing out in most parks. Coors Field on the slate and it should be chalk with bad pitching on both sides.
PITCHERS
Aaron Nola
Looks like Nola is back on track with 4 straight games allowing 1 run or less. In that time frame he posted 2 -10 k games . He has held righties in check this year and strikes them out at a 26% clip. The Nats usually run out 5-6 RHH’s, which is good news for Nola. Looking at 7 innings 2 ER and 8 Ks.
Charlie Morton
Morton just saw this Os team and went 7 stron lg innings and struck out 12 while only allowing 4 hits amen 1 ER. Highest price arm on the slate but in an excellent spot tonight and can be paired with Keller. Looking at 7 innings 2 ER and 10 Ks.
VALUE ARM
Brad Keller
Keller has been better at home this year, minimizes HRs and better vs RHH’s. The Tigers are running out 5 RHH’s tonight and have not hit well vs rhp. He is a cheap option that should go 5-6 innings give up a few runs and strike out 5-6 batters.
Jake Odorizzi
Pitched well most of the year and price is down. Good time to take advantage of the low price. Nice K upside vs a mediocre team.
TEAM/S
LA Angels
I was on the Angels last night vs Leake and they went off. I like them again tonight vs Wade LeBlanc who has allowed a 2.3 HRs/9 to LHHs and 1.8 to RHHs. As I stated yesterday Angels Stadium is one of the better parks for HRs and the Angels have some power upside now with a healthy lineup.
*Trout, Upton, Pujols, Calhoun, Simmons Or Fletcher.
Red Sox
Sox bats face Ross Stripling who has allowed 8 runs and 3 HRs over his last 8 innings. They came out of the All Star break swinging hitting 3 HRs while scoring 8 runs.
*Betts, Bogaerts and Martinez are my favorites with Devers and JBJ coming in next.
Coors Field
Yesterday with 2 solid pitchers I had little exposure to Coors. Today with Tanner Roark and Kyle Freeland on the mound I have a lot of interest. Roark has been solid vs RHH’s , but LHHs have been crushing him.
*Blackmon, Dahl & Murphy are in play with Story and Arenado.
Freeland was sent to the minors after a rough start and pasted a 8.80 ERA in 6 starts.
*Sentzel, Suarez, Puig with Irvin, Casali and Peraza as value bats.
SD Padres- low ownership HR upside.
Padres disappointed last night vs Kuechal, but I am going right back to them tonight vs Teheran. This year Teheran has been worse on the road and allows power vs RHH’s. The Padres have 3 RHH’s with power upside- Machado, Renfroe, Reyes, Tatis. Renfroe, Reyes and Tatis all have over .300 ISO vs RHP. Hosmer and Reyes have the BvP. Fireworks tonight in SD with at least 3 bombs.
*Reyes, Hosmer, Renfroe favorites with Machado and Myers next
FAVORITE BATS
C
Matt Weiters- value- Hot bat
Curt Casali- value
Jason Castro
1B
Brandon Belt
Daniel Murphy
Daniel Vogelbach
2B
Keston Huira
Jason Kipnis
Whit Merrifield
3B
Geno Suarez
Rafael Devers
Jake Lamb- value
SS
Xander Bogaerts
Trevor Story
Dansby Swanson
Paul DeJong- value
OF
Max Kepler
Charlie Blackmon
Mike Trout
Mookie Betts
Tier 2
George Springer
JD Martinez
Nick Sentzel
David Dahl
VALUE BATS
Juston Upton- Lock vs LHP
JBJ
Philip Ervin- cheap Coors with power vs LHP.
Alwx Dickerson
