QB
Ryan/Winston – Obvious plays this week and for good reason. On paper this looks like it’s going to be an absolute shootout with both defenses being as strong as a wet paper bag. It’s tough to fade either of these guys, but if this game flops and we go somewhere else we’re steamrolling past the 70% of people who play these guys.
Goff – I love this kid. One thing though, make sure you check the weather. Snow will fall early in the morning in Denver, and from what it looks like it should be ok for game time. Goff should eat this defense alive, especially with Cooks and Kupp looking like they will pass concussion protocol.
Mayfield – Chargers have been torched through the air and I’ve already proclaimed the love for Baker. He’s thrown the ball over 40 times in his last 2 starts and it’s just a matter of time til we see that 5 td game.
Cousins – I’ll be overweight on Thielen this week, so Cousins comes into play by default. Cousins has struggled a bit at home, but after 2 games on the road they get that rocking’ crowd behind them. My only fear here is Arizona can’t keep up, but with how bad Minnesota’s D has been it could be tied in the 4th.
RB
Gurley – Expensive, but should still hit at least 2X. Denver has been torched on the ground, giving up over 300 yards on the ground to Bilal Powell and Crowell last week. This is a game where you can play Gurley with Goff and a Ram receiver.
Yeldon – Dallas will be without Sean Lee again this week, and they struggle bad without him anchoring their defense. Yeldon is a high volume guy, especially with Fournette and Grant out, so he’ll see plenty of opportunities.
Mixon – Cincy will need to lean on the run today in order to control the clock and keep the Steelers offense off the field. Mixon has been good at home averaging 4.1 yards per carry, while also being involved in the short passing game.
Hyde – He’s quietly been a workhorse early this year. He’s had over 20 carries in 3 of their 5 games this year and has scored in 4 of those 5 games. He gets in the box twice today, once on the ground and one through the air.
Lynch – Super Bowl Revenge game narrative.
Others I like
Carson
Collins
Lindsay
WR
Thielen – Like I said up top, I’m going to be heavy on Thielen. He’s getting a ton of targets and is literally a mismatch for anyone who tries to cover him. Safe to assume he gets his 100 yards and touchdown.
ATL/TB – No need to list every wide receiver in this game. They’re all in good spots and will be heavily owned. I like Sanu more so than anyone here, scoring double digit FanDuel points in 3 straight weeks. Now, I will have some Julio and Evans exposure but I’m probably going to be underweight than the field.
Allen – Rivers will light this defense up. Allen has had his breakout game yet, and while he doesn’t possess the huge playmaking ability as other, he will have double digit catches today.
Kupp – This is my Goff/Gurley correlation here. 3 straight games with a touchdown and 20 targets over the past 2 weeks. Denver will score on this LA D and this game will be much closer than some think.
Sanders – Looks to be Keenum’s favorite target out of the slot. Rams struggle with limiting damage from slot receivers, so I think we see a lot of production from Sanders today. He’s the similar mold to Thielen and we saw what he did to this defense.
Callaway – This is my value smash spot here. 25 targets in his last 3 games, PLUS Rashard Higgins is out. Those 5-7 targets should filter down to Callaway. I think we see his breakout game today along with Baker torching this D.
Rogers – No TY – Doyle – and possibly Ebron. Back to back game with 11 targets catching 72% of those. He’s probably the value chalk, but it’s a great spot for him.
Others I like
R. Anderson
Fuller
J. Brown
TE
Hooper – with everyone going down to Brate, Hooper could come in lower owned than I thought. As I’ve said every single week, Play the tight end against Tampa.
Njoku – he’s finally getting involved in this offense, with 11 targets last week. I’m a game that could shoot out, I wouldn’t be surprised to see double digit targets again.
Uzomah – No Kroft, and Pittsburgh struggles to cover the tight end. I don’t think there’s much upside, but he’s pretty cheap.
Swoope – IF EBRON IS OUT, THIS IS MY PIVOT OFF TAMPA CHALK TE
Defense
Minnesota – sneaky spot for this D
Chicago – Mack is from South Florida (actually where I live) so there’s narrative and family here. Expect a MONSTER GAME!
Jacksonville
Cincy – Thanks to Renner
