Today we are looking at a 15 game slate with some solid high price pitcher, Coors Field and some other good hitters spots. Listed in this article are my favorite pitchers long with some teams and value bats.
PITCHERS
Pitcher stats for last 30 days
Walker Buehler
Buehler picks up and excellent matchup tonight vs the Padres who have been cold as of late vs RHP. Over the past 14 days they have only hit .178 with a 29% K rate. Earlier this month Buehler faces them when Tatis was in the lineup and went 9 innings allowing 1 ER and striking it 15 hitters. I can see him going 7 innings allowing a run and striking out 10-12 tonight.
Also consider: Luis Castillo vs the Marlins & Andrew Heaney vs the Rangers.
VALUE ARM
Adrian Houser
With 3 solid games in a row and he gets a price drop. He just went 5 innings vs the Cardinals and allowed 1 ER and 6 Ks. Houser has been a bit better at home this year and has a 25% K rate to hitters from both sides of the plate. Prefer Houser over Smyly and most others in his price range. Looking at 6 innings 2 ERs and 7 Ks.
Also consider: Adam Plutko vs the Tigers.
TEAM/S
Coors Field Red Sox vs Rockies
-The Red Sox face Rico Garcia who pitched in both AA & AAA this year. He pitched well in AA, but had over a 7 ERA and 13 HRs given up in 55 innings.
My favorite bat is Jackie Bradley Jr. coming in to Coors at 4.2K on DK and hitting the ball well as of late (71% HC over the past 7 days). Could see his 2nd double dong game of the year. Also, JD Martinez, Moreland and Devers have been hitting well as of late.
*JBJ, Devers, Martinez, Betts, Bogaerts, Moreland
-Rockies face Rick Porcello who has been an absolute disaster this year. Porcello has been worse on the road this year allowing a 2.3 HRs/9, 42 % HC and 45% FB rate. The Rockies will tee off against him tonight.
*Blackmon is my favorite with elite numbers at home and matches up very well vs Porcello’s pitch type. Arenado is hitting the ball well right now along with Story and Murphy.
*Blackmon, Arenado,Story, McMahon, Murphy in order of preference.
Oakland As vs Mike Montgomery
Last night the As went off vs Keller and the Royals staff got 19 runs. Tonight they get another good matchup vs Montgomery. He has been really bad vLHHs allowing a .549 wOBA and 49% HC rate and .349 wOBA and 39% HC vRHHs with power to both sides. Matt Olson is my favorite play from the As tonight. Montgomery throws mostly sinkers and curveballs. Semien, Canha, Chapman and Phegley hit the sinker well and Davis, Profar and Olson hit the curve well.
*Olson, Chapman, Canha & Semien
*Phegley, Davis and Grossman for value. Grossman hits better vs LHP.
New York Yankees vs Yusei Kikuchi
Kikuchi pitches well last game vs the Blue Jays, but has been a mess most of the year. Allowed 31 HRs on the year with the 4th most. 2.5 HRs/9 to LHHs and 2.0 to RHH’s. Yankees bats have been heating up Mike Ford hitting the ball well. Mike Tauchman hits LvL well. Judge and Torres hitting the ball well.
* Ford, Tauchman, Judge, LeMahuie, Torres
*Yelich/Thames/Spangenburg- Mikolas much worse on road and vs LHHs.
**Low ownership- Bell/Ozuna/Moran
Hottest hitter last 7 games
VALUE BATS
Corey Spangenberg
Mike Ford- LvL crushes LHP and Kikuchi allows 2.5 HRs/9 to LHHs. Ford 3 HRs last 2 games.
Josh Phegley
Robbie Grossman/Khris Davis
Dansby Swanson
Jason Kipnis
Roberto Perez
