The Staff
Soroka – 8 straight quality starts for the young kid, while he’s only given up more than 1 run once all year. He doesn’t strike out a ton of guys, and Pittsburgh has done a really good job recently protection with 2 strikes by fouling off pitches so upside is limited in this spot. But, Soroka can limit any damage and should be in line for the W tonight.
Lucchesi – Nice spot for Looch tonight facing a SF team that has hit just .227 and 1 home run against lefties in the last 2 weeks. San Fran is also dead last in hard contact in that time frame at a ridiculous 20% hard contact. In a big park, bringing his 27.3% road k rate Looch is a nice mid range play tonight.
Hess – GPP FLYERRRRRRR! Hess went off on this Toronto team earlier in the season for 8 k’s in 6 1/3 innings. (I know they didn’t have Vlad or Biggio) Toronto has struggled over the last week against rhp hitting just .200 as a team and a 25% k rate. This is a risky as hell
The Bats
Minnesota – ohhhhhhhhhhhh 5-9 yessssssss
St. Louis – Yamamoto has extreme reverse splits. This is the absolute smash spot for Goldy/Dejong/Ozuna
Atlanta – I don’t trust Keller enough yet to fade attacking him. Albies is white hot, and Acuna is heating up.
Arizona – They’re destroying Philly pitching. Marte moves to lead off tonight with Vargas right behind him. Love the 1-2 pairing with Peralta and Escobar.