Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat NBA Playoffs Game 5 Betting Preview: Point Spread, Moneylines, Odds

The Miami Heat are 11.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET on NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSUN. The Heat lead the series 3-1. The point total for the matchup is set at 219.5.

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Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and Odds

  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSUN
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum
  • Moneyline favorite: Bucks (-625)
  • Spread: Bucks (-11.5)
  • Total: 219.5

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Stats and Trends

  • The Bucks have covered the spread 42 times in 82 games with a set spread.
  • Milwaukee has an ATS record of 4-6 when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
  • Games involving the Bucks have hit the over 41 times this season.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to put up more than 219.5 points in 53 of 82 games this season.
  • The Bucks and their opponents have scored an average of 230.2 points per game in 2022-23, 10.7 more than Wednesday’s total.
  • The Heat have gone 30-48-4 against the spread this season.
  • Heat games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 40 times this year.
  • Miami’s games have gone over 219.5 points in 39 of 82 chances this season.
  • The 219.5 over/under in this game is 0.2 points above the 219.3 average total in Heat games this season.

Bucks vs. Heat Statistics and Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Heat AVG Heat Rank
8th 116.9 Points Scored 109.5 30th
14th 113.3 Points Allowed 109.8 2nd
1st 48.6 Rebounds 40.6 27th
11th 11.1 Off. Rebounds 9.7 20th
4th 14.8 3pt Made 12 16th
12th 25.8 Assists 23.8 25th
21st 13.9 Turnovers 12.8 9th

Bucks vs. Heat Stats and Trends

  • The Bucks are 4-6 overall and 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 contests.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in eight of those 10 games.
  • The last 10 Milwaukee games averaged 225.9 total points, 6.4 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Bucks have scored 2.1 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
  • The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Nine of Miami’s last 10 outings have gone over the total.
  • Miami has averaged a total of 219.5 combined points in its last 10 games, identical to the over/under of 219.5.
  • During the past 10 games, the Heat are averaging 9.6 more points than their season average of 109.5 PPG.

Free Pick of the Day

Our prediction: Heat (+11.5)

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