Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat NBA Playoffs Game 1 Betting Preview: Point Spread, Moneylines, Odds

The Milwaukee Bucks are 9-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum on Sunday, starting at 5:30 PM ET on TNT. The over/under is 218.5 for the matchup.

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Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and Odds

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum
  • Moneyline favorite: Bucks (-418)
  • Spread: Bucks (-9)
  • Total: 218.5

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Stats and Trends

  • The Bucks have covered the spread 42 times this season (42-35-5).
  • Milwaukee is 6-14 ATS when playing as at least 9-point favorites.
  • Bucks games have gone over the total 41 times this season.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the current 218.5-point total in 55 of 82 games (67.1%) this season.
  • Bucks games this season feature an average total of 230.2 points, a number 11.7 points higher than Sunday’s over/under.
  • The Heat have covered the spread 30 times in 82 games with a set spread.
  • Miami has not covered a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 9-point underdogs.
  • This season, 40 of the Heat’s games have gone over the point total.
  • Miami’s games have gone over 218.5 points in 41 of 82 chances this season.
  • The 218.5-point over/under for this game is 0.8 points below the 219.3 points per game average total in Heat games this season.

Bucks vs. Heat Statistics and Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Heat AVG Heat Rank
8th 116.9 Points Scored 109.5 30th
14th 113.3 Points Allowed 109.8 2nd
1st 48.6 Rebounds 40.6 27th
11th 11.1 Off. Rebounds 9.7 20th
4th 14.8 3pt Made 12 16th
12th 25.8 Assists 23.8 25th
21st 13.9 Turnovers 12.8 9th

Bucks vs. Heat Stats and Trends

  • The Bucks have covered the spread three times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
  • Milwaukee’s past 10 outings saw seven hit the over.
  • The past 10 Milwaukee games averaged 13.6 more points (232.1) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Bucks’ per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 3.6 points higher than their season-long average.
  • The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Seven of Miami’s last 10 contests have gone over the total.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.9 more than the 218.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In their past 10 games, the Heat are scoring 3.5 more points per game than their season-long scoring average, 109.5 PPG.

Free Pick of the Day

Our prediction: Heat (+9)

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