DFS NBA Droppin Dimes 1/18/2019

ORLANDO, FL - SEPTEMBER 24: Nikola Vucevic #9 of the Orlando Magic poses for a portrait during Media Day on September 24, 2018 at Amway Center in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2018 NBAE (Photo by Fernando Medina/NBAE via Getty Images)

7 Game slate

**Top 2 games on the night- Warriors/Clippers & Pelicans/Blazers

*Warriors/Clippers game has a total of 241.5 points and a 6 point spread. These 2 teams played back on December 23rd in a close 2 point game. Curry dropped 42 points and Durant dropped 25 and Kevin Looney scored 10 points and grabbed 7 rebounds in 22 minutes. On the Clippers side Harris lead the way with 32 points and 9 rebounds, while Gallinari scored 25 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. Lou Williams came in off the bench and scored 25 points and dropped 9 dimes. Favorite Plays-Warriors(Curry, Green & Thompson, although Durant is a worth a look. Curry has been on a tear. Green is getting back into form and still under priced for his upside. Jerebko is cheap and worth a look in this game). Clippers(Williams, Gallinari, Harrell are my favorite 3 and Harris is worth a look due to his consistent play. Patrick Beverly should be called on to play more minutes against the Warriors. He is worth a look for value at the PG position

*Pelicans/Blazers game has a total of 233.5 and a 3 point spread. They met back in the beginning of the season and the Pelicans were with out Davis. Randle lead the way for the Pelicans scoring 29 points and Moore chipped in 19 points. Lillard and Nurkic lead the way for the Blazers scoring 26 and 20 points respectively. Favorite Plays-Pelicans(Davis is on a tear as of late with 72 or more FPs in 3 of his last 4 games and one topping 80. Holiday has consistently played minutes and has been above 40 FPs in 4 of his last 6 games. Mirotic price is still down and he just played 29 minutes last game, so I have a lot of interest in him tonight. Moore gets a very good matchup and plays over 30 minutes with a price of only 4K. Blazers( Lillard and Nurkic are the 2 I have the most interest in on the Blazers. If Harkless plays he is worth a look, but if he sits then I would have interest in Turner. 

 

Listed at the end Risk/Reward plays are lower cost players that have some risk with potential high upside.

 

 

Point Guards

Steph Curry

Curry dropped over 40 real points  in the first matchup with the Clippers. He has also been on fire as of late.

Damian Lillard

Dame at home in a pace up spot.

Elfrid Payton

Elf is starting to play more minutes and has put up 30 or FPs in 2 of his last 3 games. Triple/double upside.

Also Consider- Jeff Teague.

 

Shooting Guards

DeMar DeRozan

DeRozan is under 8k and in an nice matchup.

Lou Williams

Playing well right now and put up 40 FPs against Warrior last time.

Klay Thompson

Playing well right now and gets a good matchup.

 

Small Forwards

Kevin Durant

Nikola Mirotic

Minutes are up and picks up a good matchup tonight. Underpriced, so take advantage of it.

Danillo Gallinari

Gallo played well vs the Warriors earlier this season.

Also consider Jae Crowder, Rudy Gay.

 

Power Forwards

Anthony Davis

Aaron Gordon

Similar to Vucevic, but with a bit more risk.

Tobias Harris & Montrezl Harrell

These guys are both in good spots tonight vs the Warriors. Harris is the more consistent player, while Harrell has shown the upside.

Also consider LeMarcus Aldridge & Draymond Green.

 

Centers

Nikola Vucevic

Love this matchup for Vuc tonight as he faces one of the worst defensive teams vs the center position.

Jusif Nurkic

Nice pace up spot for Nurkic, who is playing st a high level this year when he gets minutes. Blazers will need him to counter Davis.

Ante Zizic

The Cavs are down Nance and now Thompson opening up minutes for Zizic, who has produced when receiving 20 + minutes. The Jazz have been solid defending agains the center posits of late, but they are allowing over 50 DK FPs to opposing centers as of  late. Zizic is in play with his increase in minutes along with his  .95 FPPM average this year and he should easily hit value.

Also consider Marc Gasol, who is priced under 7k ok DK.

*Demarcus “Boogie” Cousins is back tonight and starting. News is that he will play short bursts and have his minutes limited. I am all good fading him tonight and playing Zizic.

 

Risk/Reward-GPP plays

Jake Layman- in play of Harkless sits out. Double digit scoring in 3 straight games and has shown 30 FP upside.

Jaron Blossomgame- Player solid minutes for the Cavs due to players out with injuries. Only 3.3k on DK and has shown 25 FP upside.

Colin Sexton- plays solid minutes.

Pat Beverly- should play more minutes tonight vs the Warriors.

Rodney Hood- revenge narrative and cheap.

Royce O’Neale-playing a ton of minutes and gets a good matchup.

Marco Bellinili

Omri Casspi

Bam Adebayo