Week 14 TNF Bets and DFS Picks

TNF Week 14 DK Showdown and Bets

Welcome to a single game installment of the Thursday Night Football bets and DFS picks for Jaconsville at Tennessee.

As with all DFS contests, if you are investing the time to come up with a strategy and an approach you should be entering it into the right contests and yes, there are single entry contests for the Showdown slates with good pay lines that you can focus in.  Give yourself a chance to remain profitable on the slates when you get something right and not have to sweat out someone with 150 $10 lineups who mixed and matched a bunch of combinations and ended up splitting the prize pool.  Any profit is good profit and that’s especially true on the showdown lottery tickets.

Be honest with yourself.  It’s gambling.  But have fun with it.

 

Jacksonville at Tennessee

LINE:  Titans -5.5

Over/Under:   37

 

What we know about these teams …

The Jaguars have had a major lost season but still have a formidable defense as they showed last week against the Colts with a home shutout.  They’ve been vulnerable at times on the ground and Tennessee likes to run it a bit so both Titans backs should be in a good spot here tonight.

The Titans defense has been a major jeckyl and hyde but overall has played well at home.  They’re better against the pass like the Jaguars but there are some chances for the Jags to get a big play here or there tonight in my mind.

 

Jacksonville DFS Depth Chart, listed in order of price from high to low

QB:  Cody Kessler

RB:  Leonard Fournette, TJ Yeldon, Carlos Hyde

WR:  Dede Westbrook, Donte Moncreif, Keelan Cole

TE:  James O’Shaunessy

 

Tennessee DFS Depth Chart, listed in order of price from high to low

QB:  Marcus Mariota

RB:  Dion Lewis, Derrick Henry

WR:  Corey Davis, Tajae Sharpe, Taywan Taylor

TE:  Jonnu Smith, Anthony Firsker, Luke Stocker

 

Image result for dion lewisDFS SHOWDOWN PLAYS

Both teams Kickers (Succop & Lambo) should be popular plays tonight and are even considerable in the Captain spot with Succop being my slight lean between the two if you only go one.  I like the Titans defense here, how can you not at home against Cody Kessler, but Mariota is vulnerable to some bad games as well so if you do multiple lineups (you should) then get one Jags D play in there.

How I think the game plays out … The slight shock tonight wouldn’t be the Titans winning, but it would be the Titans winning easily 36-6 and that’s what I think we get tonight with the Titans D even getting a Safety.

 

Core Titans:   Mariota, Lewis,

Tier 2 Titans:  Smith, Titans D, Succop

Longshot Titans:    Taylor, Sharpe

 

Core Jags:   Fournette, Yeldon, Westbrook

Longshot Jags:   Hyde (Fournette implodes again and he gets work)

 

BETS

  • Titans -5.5
  • Titans 1H OVER 10.5
  • Player Props
    • Dion Lewis OVER 3.5 receptions — HAMMER THIS
    • Len Fournette UNDER 21.5 Rec Yards
    • Carlos Hyde OVER 15.5 rushing yards
  • Player to score first Props
    • Dion Lewis +700
    • Derrick Henry +800
    • Marcus Mariota Rush TD +1700
    • Jordan Matthews +3500 (Longshot call of the night)
  • Player TD Props
    • I dont like any of the odds on most of these.
About Steve Renner 1215 Articles
Steve has been a part of the Full Time DFS team from the beginning when we migrated over from Scout Fantasy Sports. As a former contributor on the message forums at Scout he developed a following for his unique writing on MLB DFS. He continued this over with the launch of FullTimeDFS and built a team and platform focused on the common every day DFS player and not those who are just looking for a quick win or to build out MME in every sport for screenshot glory. Steve (sdchickens) specializes in MLB (Dongers Club), NHL (Slap Shot) and NFL (The Ambush). On a personal level he also loves College Sports and will dabble in them for DFS purposes a ton. And yes, he's an avid Saints fan.