Today we are looking at a 5 game slate with some good games to target. 8 pm start time tonight. The chart below shows each game with team totals, pace, opponents pace, a pace differential(difference between team and opponent: Green is pace up), defense rating and DvP(Defense vs Position).
*Keep an eye on Paul George’s status prior to lock. If he does not have any minutes restriction then he is worth a shot at only 7.6K.
Few ways to go tonight. Doncic, Young, Jokic and Giannis are the higher priced players on the slate. All in good spots tonight. I have all 4 projected at between 5-6x.
Doncic is still underpriced on DK at only 10K. He has eclipsed the 50 FPs Mark in all but 2 games this year. Also just dropped 38 real points, put up a triple double and 72 FPs vs the Knicks.
When you take Collins, Huerter and Carter off the floor Young’s usage goes up to 39.4%. He has been on fire over the past 3 games dropping over 30 real points, double digit assists and 60 FPs. The Suns have been solid defensively, but Young should still should still shine.
Dunn has been very efficient over the past 4 games putting up 20+ FPs in 20 minutes or less. This is a pace ups spot which should increase Dunn’s value. I prefer him over White tonight as he needs to shoot lights out in order to hit value, while Dunn hits all the categories. Also think most go to White and Dunn comes in at lower ownership with similar upside.
Will play additional minutes tonight with the Hawks down some players.
Beverly, Shamet and Leonard are all out tonight, but the Clippers are expecting Paul George to play tonight. I would think he would be on some sort of minutes restriction in his first game back. Williams usage up over 10% in usage to 41% over all with those 3 off the Court, but this is with out George on the court. So the usage will take some sort of hit. I still think Williams will have a big game tonight vs the faster paced Pelicans that are ranked 27th in defense.
Playing well as of late 20+ real points in back to back games.
Wright is under 4K on DK and has back to back 20 FPs games. Does not need to score to hit value. He does it all. Good spot.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
THJ gets a second shot at his former team this time back in New York. Last game he shot 5-15 and put up 19 FPs. The shot attempts were there and I can see him stepping it up a bit more tonight on the court he played most of last year. Double digit shot attempts and 3rd highest usage rate on the Mavs. Can see him putting up a solid game and at least hitting value tonight with potential for 6x at low ownerships.
Should pick up some additional minutes tonight with Middleton out. 3.1K and has 2- 30+ FP games. Should have low ownership.
Good spot tonight with No Ingram, Hart or Okafor. Low ownership play that has 6x upside
Excellent spot for him, but highest priced player on the board. Value plays in this article to go along with him if you choose to Giannis.
Williams has played well while in the starting lineup. Last 3 games where he played over 20 minutes he put up 30 FPs in 3 of them.
Porzingas just dropped 50 FPs vs this Knicks team a few game ago. Tonight he plays back in New York with a lower price tag.
Pelicans will be short players again tonight, so we should see Favors play solid minutes. High upside with 25+ minutes.
Playing very well as of late with back to back double/doubles. Good matchup.
Centers vs the Nets. Jokic price down on DK. Largest pace differential on the slate for the Nuggets.
No Kawhi, Beverly or Shamet. Harrell should shine vs the Pelicans in a pace up spot.
Len came off the bench last game and played 22 minutes for a season high 17 points and 7 rebounds. Tonight he gets a shot vs his former team in the Suns and could shine again. I can see him stepping it up some tonight in a pace up spot. Also, the Suns weak point is vs opposing centers as the rank 23rd. Price is down to 3.6K on DK and can see him coming in at low ownership tonight.