DFS NBA Droppin Dimes 1/11/2019

On this Friday we get a 9 game slate. We already have news that Miles Turner will be sitting out, so this opens up some plays for the Pacers as the face the Knicks who have been the worst defensive team(on this slate) over the past 30 days. The Knicks rank last at defending the SF and PF position putting Bogdonovic and Thad Young in play(both who should not have much ownership). Most will go to Sabonis who has seen a price increase, but has not been under 35 FPs over the past 4 games. A nice punt play tonight is Kyle O’Quinn going against his former team. He could easily drop 25-30FPs in this matchup. Tyreke Evans is in a good spot as well and only 3.7k on DK.

The Jazz will be without a point guard tonight as Rubio, Exum and Neto have already been ruled out. Removing these 3 players off the floor Donovan Mitchell’s usage goes up to 37,4% . He will be hard to pass up on tonight at his price vs the Lakers. Joe Ingles has stepped it up with Rubio and Exum off the floor and is reasonable priced under 6K.  Rudy Gobert has an elite matchup vs the Lakers as the rank 26th vs the center position. Jae Crowder should see over 30 minutes tonight and is a good play at under 5K. If you are looking for a punt playu the Royce O’Neale is 3.5k and under and should see solid minutes tonight. Mitchel, Ingles and Crowder are my favorite from the Jazz tonight.

*Giannis is listed as doubtful and if he sits out then Middleton & Bledsoe see an increase in usage. Also, Brogdon, Lopez becomes solid plays along with Ilyasova who is cheap.

 

DvP Chart over the last 30 days

 

Questionable s/What IFs

Damian Lillard is listed as questionable and if he sits Seth Curry becomes a solid play, while C.J. McCollum gets a big boost in usage. Evan Turner also gets a boost in usage. If Lillard ends up playing then I will have some exposure to him as he is in a good spot at home vs Kemba Walker.

 

Top Tier/10k players

Harden

Embiid

Towns

Curry

Durant

*Harden usage has been over 45% with Gordon and Paul off the floor. He would be the one i would pay up for, but game may not stay close. He could put up 50 FPs in limited minutes.

 

Core

Joe Ingles

Irsan Ilyasova

Eric Bledsoe

Otto Porter

 

 

Point Guard

Damian Lillard

Eric Bledsoe

Trae Young

George Hill

 

Shooting Guard

Donovan Mitchell

Kris Middleton 

Luka Doncic

Jordan Clarkson- If Hood sits

 

Small Forward

Joe Ingles

Otto Porter

Evan Turner

Jae Crowder

 

Power Forward

Thad Young

Lauri Markkanen

Serge Ibaka

Ersan Ilyasova

 

Center

Luke Kornet

Rudy Gobert

Jusif Nurkic

Tristan Thompson 

Brook Lopez

 

Risk/Reward

Zach Collins-No Harkless, so Collins should play 20 plus minutes tonight. Good spot vs Hornets.

Shabazz Napier

Kyle O’Quinn-if Turner is out. vs his old team.

Iam Mahimni

Jeremy Lin

TJ McConnell- Hawks ranked dead last vs point guards.

Maxi Kleber

Kyle Korver